You may need to read this again to see if you missed something. The purpose of this concept is to keep you from just accepting the first or easy solution you find. You have to look more deeply to make sure that it is the right solution.

We can usually make some idea plausible. But for it to be the truth, it has to be tested. Always remember that correlation doesn’t mean causation. Two things can be connected and seem to be leading to each other but that does not mean that one causes the other. We get into trouble with that in medicine. Good example is that I notice my migraines come when it’s raining or going to rain. That just means that they are correlated (and actually it’s due to conditioning). It does not mean that the migraine is caused by a change in barometric pressure.

It’s important for us to not seek the easy way out. We want to seek the right way, the proven way.

Can you think of any time in your life when you picked a solution that seemed plausible, but then it seemed that it was too easy and, indeed, it turned out to be wrong?